Adam Elbourne

drelbourne.bsky.social

07 October 2026 10:12

If I remember correctly, the infectieradar in the Netherlands measures how many people 1) have symptoms and then 2) test positive for covid on a selftest. As such, it's a biased measure of cumulative infections because it doesn't include 1) asymptomatic or 2) symptomatic but negative test cases. ...

Prof. Michael Fuhrer

michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social

07 August 2026 23:32

Touché! But to me this looks like the effect of seasonality - it operates more or less equally on all variants. In fact the variant with the most recent infections (24B) get the smallest boost, which is opposite to what waning would do.

Prof. Michael Fuhrer

michaelsfuhrer.bsky.social

23 April 2026 01:08

In summary, the CDC doesn't update all the historic data when it updates the baseline, and this accounts for a large part of the fact that WVAL isn't proportional to RNA concentration.

Emily Johnson

emilyrj.bsky.social

27 February 2026 01:38

Many of these “recovery” studies aren’t following with reinfections, falsely inflating “recovery” with “remission” Those of us old hats in post-infectious world know remission (in a symptom, condition across a syndrome) is the realistic aim given reinfections usually means worse baselines again

Marc Veldhoen

marcveld.bsky.social

28 April 2025 13:21

Oh dear, many anti-vaxxers show again they cannot read a scientific paper. Paradoxical increase in global COVID-19 deaths with vaccination coverage: World Health Organization estimates (2020–2023) journals.sagepub.com... 1/6