joekoe.bsky.social
👤 Joined on 17 October 2024
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Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 16, 2026 Total early votes: 846,617 (+304,314) 22.2% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 55.9% - 63.8% 🔴 Mike Collins: 36.2% - 44.1% Remaining votes in Georgia will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.
Show Postlmao please do, joe manchin's reputation with democrats is somewhere between cancer and diarrhea
Show PostGeorgia: 40% increase in first-day turnout compared with the 2022 midterms, and more than double the first-day participation seen during the 2018 midterms. "Early ballots in North Carolina and Maine are up 38% from the last midterms, while Iowa has seen a 61% increase" www.kark.com/news/early-v...
Show PostI wouldn't be that surprised at a double-digit Dem generic ballot result at this point. Do I think it's the median outcome? Not currently, though polls could trend that direction very quickly as low-info voters tune in. I give Dems about a 45% chance of winning by 10+ points
Show Posthere's my take: he's extrapolating from interviews he did with people, and that is not an empirical basis for predicting potential polling error. i am additionally a little skeptical of this narrative, which is basically just another way to punch left to demonstrate media neutrality (derogatory)
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