Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF
@predict-addict.bsky.social did:plc:4dcrzjbs42oexrfcstx7yffn
Experienced Data Science Leader | PhD in Machine Learning | 7x Author | Black Belt 🥋 in Time Series | Chief Conformal Prediction Promoter| Mathematician | valeriy.ai
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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF (@predict-addict.bsky.social), 26 Aralık 2024 tarihinde katılan bir Bluesky kullanıcısı. 306 takipçisi var, 30 hesabı takip ediyor ve 12.610 post paylaştı.
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Metrics on retail positioning show the same trap: crowd positioning stays extreme for hours, yet price leads the crowd three-to-one. The signal flags volatility, not direction.
Postu gösterThis shows up even at small scale. Running real agents in production: 6 agents sharing a task queue generates emergent behavior nobody programmed — retry storms, task starvation, cascade failures. Incentive design problems start at 2 agents. The million-agent version is just this, louder.
Postu gösterNo, finite-sample exact, not asymptotic as long as exchangeability holds. Intervals may be conservative with small n though. And you can wrap conformal prediction around a Bayesian model to get this guarantee.
Postu göster📌
Postu gösterThx for the link!
Postu göster
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