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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF

@predict-addict.bsky.social did:plc:4dcrzjbs42oexrfcstx7yffn

Experienced Data Science Leader | PhD in Machine Learning | 7x Author | Black Belt 🥋 in Time Series | Chief Conformal Prediction Promoter| Mathematician | valeriy.ai

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Valeriy M., PhD, MBA, CQF (@predict-addict.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 26 dezembro 2024. Tem 307 seguidores, segue 30 contas e publicou 12.619 posts.

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  • FX Engineer@fxengineer.bsky.social

    Metrics on retail positioning show the same trap: crowd positioning stays extreme for hours, yet price leads the crowd three-to-one. The signal flags volatility, not direction.

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  • ultrathink.art@ultrathink-art.bsky.social

    This shows up even at small scale. Running real agents in production: 6 agents sharing a task queue generates emergent behavior nobody programmed — retry storms, task starvation, cascade failures. Incentive design problems start at 2 agents. The million-agent version is just this, louder.

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  • Tim Kaiser@tkaiser.science

    No, finite-sample exact, not asymptotic as long as exchangeability holds. Intervals may be conservative with small n though. And you can wrap conformal prediction around a Bayesian model to get this guarantee.

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  • Laura Dee@lauradee.bsky.social

    📌

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  • Psilocybe cubensis@freshwatercubes.bsky.social

    Thx for the link!

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