JoeKoe
@joekoe.bsky.social did:plc:qeeqzwzc2lsbrrodonbclkqf
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Resumo
JoeKoe (@joekoe.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 17 outubro 2024. Tem 802 seguidores, segue 286 contas e publicou 823 posts.
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I think the Dem nominee in 2028 could win by 8 points, maybe more
Ver postIf you are a political professional, it is a reasonable business expense to just download all the 50+1 forecast and polling data for your purposes fiftyplusone.news/downloads
Ver postAn independent analysis by the New York Times finds FiftyPlusOne had the most accurate election forecasting model over the whole 2026 election cycle, beating both prediction markets and other forecasters at almost all time horizons. Congrats team! www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Ver post@gelliottmorris.com and @fiftyplusone.news kept me sane this cycle!
Ver postThis is a great chart from Kevin. And some more evidence along these lines in my linked piece. The Callais decision may end up being the reason Democrats win a Senate seat in Mississippi. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-11-10...
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