JoeKoe
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Zusammenfassung
JoeKoe (@joekoe.bsky.social) ist seit 17 Oktober 2024 auf Bluesky. Das Konto hat 802 Follower, folgt 286 Konten und hat 823 Posts veröffentlicht.
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I think the Dem nominee in 2028 could win by 8 points, maybe more
Post anzeigenIf you are a political professional, it is a reasonable business expense to just download all the 50+1 forecast and polling data for your purposes fiftyplusone.news/downloads
Post anzeigenAn independent analysis by the New York Times finds FiftyPlusOne had the most accurate election forecasting model over the whole 2026 election cycle, beating both prediction markets and other forecasters at almost all time horizons. Congrats team! www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Post anzeigen@gelliottmorris.com and @fiftyplusone.news kept me sane this cycle!
Post anzeigenThis is a great chart from Kevin. And some more evidence along these lines in my linked piece. The Callais decision may end up being the reason Democrats win a Senate seat in Mississippi. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-11-10...
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