Michael Plank
@michaelplanknz.bsky.social did:plc:jvuqpuyrkrdo2lvw75pfbl72
Professor of Applied Mathematics at the University of Canterbury, NZ. Fellow @royalsocietynz.bsky.social. Math modelling in biology and epidemiology. Bicycles make the world a better place. He/him https://www.math.canterbury.ac.nz/~m.plank/
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Michael Plank (@michaelplanknz.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 30 agosto 2023. Tem 2.761 seguidores, segue 1.742 contas e publicou 1.245 posts.
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Endorsed. There are two useful but imaginary universes: One where you can infinitely repeat identical data generating processes, and one where probabilities are just, like your opinion, man. I fully encourage people to pick, choose and even change which one they want to live in as they see fit 😜
Ver postNZ is a latecomer to solar. But solar generation has just exceeded fossil (gas + coal) for not just a day, or a week, but for a complete 6-month period: May to October 2026. This doesn't just cut emissions, save gas for other uses, and lower prices, it also holds water back in the lakes for later.
Ver postDiscussion. The most important conclusion here is that the evidence base for the hypothesis that covid infection causes broad, long-term damage to every organ group has been reduced to essentially zero.
Ver postOK here is the long thread. This paper for me marks the beginning of the end of a long story which I’ve written much about over the years. The novel methods employed here give new insights that upend much of what we know about long covid from EHR studies. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Ver postEven adjusting for the increase in roll size, the last two days of voting have exceeded 2020 turnout, which can't be bad news. The 2026 roll numbers will increase, but probably not an amount that would make a big dent in this rate, like maybe 30-40,000 max from 24 & 25 October enrolments?
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