Reto Mitteregger
@indubioproreto.bsky.social did:plc:3qnjs64swmsues37qmmre33k
PostDoctoral Researcher in Political Science: Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, Generational Effects. @Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin @humboldtuni.bsky.social | PhD @IPZ Zurich (he/him)
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Reto Mitteregger (@indubioproreto.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 23 setembro 2023. Tem 3.267 seguidores, segue 1.530 contas e publicou 908 posts.
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I remain but a small-town political scientist, & it’s still early in the evening, but it appears that The Actual Democrats did not Need To Do any of the Things or Learn any of the Big Lessons that Ezra Douthglesias said they Must Do & Learn. No Fascism, as it turns out, is the Actual Popularism.
Ver postHowever, I do see the practical value of the lottery to keep this manageable. But then there must be some compensation mechanism for the unlucky one's. Perhaps that next year they will be able to pass on to round 2 without lottery of they are reviewed well again in stage 1?
Ver postProposal for a new system: (1) 4-page first submission. (2) Selected ones enter a lottery (3) Few enter second-stage review of a full proposal (4) Only the very likely successful ones go to interview to check the applicant's understanding, with a success rate of ~80%.
Ver postDas sind noch Nachwahl-Befragungen, oder? Könnte es sein, dass auch hier - wie bei den Umfragen vor den Wahlen - ein polling error drinsteckt und die Unterstützung für Demokraten sogar noch größer ist?
Ver postThere might be other data to consider, but at least these exit polls suggest the gender voting gap among young voters has remained stable since 2024. Both young women and men have shifted toward Democrats. Obviously, there are turnout differences between midterm and presidential election years.
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