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Reto Mitteregger

@indubioproreto.bsky.social did:plc:3qnjs64swmsues37qmmre33k

PostDoctoral Researcher in Political Science: Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, Generational Effects. @Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin @humboldtuni.bsky.social | PhD @IPZ Zurich (he/him)

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Reto Mitteregger (@indubioproreto.bsky.social) est sur Bluesky depuis le 23 septembre 2023. Le compte a 3 275 abonnés, suit 1 530 comptes et a publié 911 posts.

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  • Leonardo Carella@leonardocarella.bsky.social

    See also bsky.app/profile/indu...

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  • Gefjon Off@gefjonoff.bsky.social

    And, it would also be interesting to see how much of this can be explained by different people showing up in midterm elections (see pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...). Anyways, really interesting results this year. Not sure what it means for 2028 :)

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  • Gefjon Off@gefjonoff.bsky.social

    Quite striking how these 2026 results (32% Rep. votes among young men) contrast with 49% of young men voting for Trump in 2024 (compared to 41% in prev. elections, see below & cawp.rutgers.edu/blog/gender-...). Difficult to predict how this develops, given this volatility (-17pp!!).

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  • Leonardo Carella@leonardocarella.bsky.social

    The moral panic around young men has even reached the UK, a place where there is virtually no evidence for it, as shown by @turnbulldugarte.com and Emilia Belknap (ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british...) and in this IPPR report that I contributed to (www.ippr.org/articles/a-g...).

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  • Leonardo Carella@leonardocarella.bsky.social

    It is not just a Gen Z thing. Millennials went through it as well. There was a famous (and famously terrible) paper that held us responsible for "democratic deconsolidation". It got debunked extensively (in part exactly for attributing age effects to cohorts), but I still see it cited all the time.

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