Reading Liberty's Dawn by Griffin. One interesting part is her description of how sexual/marital custom gets changed by economics. Roughly: the pre-existing rules are don't have a baby out of wedlock and don't get married until a man can pay for a household. Then, the industrial revolution hits.

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They DM'd us this 2 minutes before publishing their official statement

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that's what victory looks like. i'm being serious that a lot of this is going to involve depressing turnout of low-propensity voters

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You are right! I misspoke: I center all of covariates, including y_pre. And I have learned all of that from your paper (which @eckles.bsky.social passionately introduced me to) and the Green SOP, which has been such a helpful resource for me since I was a PhD student!

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Interesting. I think of y_pre as a covariate, so one could include it in X_centered (though I'm not claiming that this makes a big difference most of the time). Is there a reason for interacting T with the other covariates but not with y_pre?

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