Michigan senate polls show Abdul El-Sayed in the lead, but they are under-sampling Free Press subscribers in New York, Austin, and Washington, DC. by Jeremy Peters and Bari Weiss

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Morning Consult above D+7??? Now you know it's going to be D+20 Genuinely though do not get yourself caught predicting a redder vote than MC does

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NEW: Democrats are targeting Republican Derek Merrin in a new ad over Ohio’s data center explosion.

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The biggest difference between Ashley Moody and me? She works for the corrupt. I work for the PEOPLE. Senator @sanders.senate.gov said it best: "they think we can’t win this election, and they’re wrong." Volunteer or donate at AngieNixon.com. #AngieForFlorida

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Still probably some lagging final Florida in-person early vote reports for the 33 counties that offered in-person early vote today, but I can clearly see compared to 2022 that in-person early voting is way up on this first day and registered Democrats are leading the way, more than doubling turnout

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