Look, I post all my videos on Bluesky, sure, but why not subscribe to my Youtube channel where they are all in one place so nicely. www.youtube.com/@SoozUK

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Rosie Holt: The Illegal Aliens have landed! is on in London WEDNESDAY ONLY in Leicester Square. Get ya tickets: www.leicestersquaretheatre.com/show/rosie-h...

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So what then? My overall read is is if you offered people the chance to be *back in EU tomorrow on exactly same terms as before* you'd probably get a majority. But it's the gap between that and reality where softness lies. Opinion is in fluid and there to be won by either side imo.

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Firstly, worth saying that Brexit is now widely perceived to be a failure by UK voters. Hence topline support for Rejoin in many polls. Demography matters too. Of the ~13.5 point fall in Leave/Stay Out opinion since 2016, 5.5 points is old people dying and new.

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NEW: How robust is opinion change on Brexit/Brexit @persuasionuk.bsky.social research properly stress tested it. We find a fair bit of softness. We think headline Rejoin support is more like 52 v 48% (!) rather than ~64-36% you see in polls. Not fatal for Rejoin but worth paying attention to🧵

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