Retiring Nevada Republican Rep. Mark Amodei said he won't vote for the Trump-endorsed GOP candidate vying to replace him amid a string of stolen valor and other accusations — and warned that the once-safe Republican seat Trump won by 14 points is at risk of flipping blue on Election Day.

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Make it 300,000 more by the end November 3…. 🚨MAJOR BREAKING: Ohio Democrats have outvoted Republicans by over 30,000 in the first week of early voting. This is EXACTLY why Ohio is about to flip blue!

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One thing we need to be prepared for on election night is that there will be a premature rush to characterize the results from incomplete and early results, and once that narrative sets in, it can be hard to shake even as the numbers change. I wrote about this phenomenon in the 2018 midterms:

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Dang. Montrose!👍

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North Carolina early voting's stunning opening day surge in Democratic and Unaffiliated voting (compared to 2022) continued through Day 2 yesterday even as Republican voting slumps. NC Dems this year have now banked 98K more EV ballots cast than GOPers, compared to their thin 15K lead back in 2022.

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