Yeah, I know. I had that thought when writing this. It's possible that, just a few weeks from now, this take will have aged very poorly. But all the evidence we have says it's more competitive than ever (at least this century) and Republicans are acting like they think Democrats have a real chance.

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Dems have been burned so many times they're reluctant to get their hopes up.

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Democrats are competitive in Texas. Talarico leads in Senate polls, Pulido's a favorite to flip a House seat, and Hinojosa narrowly trails for governor. If any win—esp. Talarico—it won't only shift institutional power, it'll be a psychic shock to the right. No wonder they're nervous. My latest:

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"Democratic success in Texas in this year’s election would be a psychic blow to the culture war-obsessed American right, making them think they’re losing the country." Strong endorse. Let's not forget that South Texas's 2024 swing to Trump was widely seen as the locus point of a major realignment:

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Let's call it like it is: the questions about Abdul El-Sayed's ties to the Muslim Brotherhood (which there is no evidence of) are part of a smear campaign because of his faith. Attacks on someone's religion have no place in this country.

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