Piecewise linear trends should be connected as we did in our paper. Otherwise you’re trying to describe the time series not with two trend lines, but with trend - jump down - trend. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Show Post

Well it *has* to be at least partly wrong due to the jump between the linear sections. The linear segments should have been constrained to be continuous.

Show Post

Time for 2026 updates to my annual “opinions about solar” thread, now with storage. If you like these, you might like edition 2 of my book, Solar Power Finance Without The Jargon. A 30% discount code WSQ0437 is valid on publisher website til end of Nov 2026. www.worldscientific.com/worldscibook...

Show Post

There's an error bar around the zero in net zero. Different models give different estimates of net carbon flux needed to stabilize global T. If we're lucky, net +10% may be enough. If not, we may need net -10%, but net +10% will still help a lot by slowing T rise bg.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

Show Post

I don't think people appreciate how much the coming year is going to suck

Show Post