Generic Ballot Polling: 🔵 Democrat: 51% 🔴 Republican: 39% NYT/Siena / Oct 19, 2026

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10/21 Forecast Update VoteHub's generic ballot average remains steady at D+8 to D+9, making Democrats overwhelming favorites to win the U.S. House and very narrow favorites in the Senate. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 60.1% (+1.3% since October 1) 🔵 U.S. House: 87.4% (+1.7% since October 1)

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Georgia Early Vote Tracking 🍑 As of Oct. 20, 2026 Total early votes: 1,164,063 (+156,460) 30.3% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 55.0% - 62.7% 🔴 Mike Collins: 37.3% - 45.0% Remaining votes in Georgia will be more Republican. We rate this race as Solid D.

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Ohio Polling: Governor: 🔵Acton: 50% 🔴Ramaswamy: 48% Senate: 🔵Brown: 52% 🔴Husted: 47%* Beacon/Shaw / Oct 19, 2026 (Current OH-GOV Model: DEM 52% - GOP 48%) (Current OH-SEN Model: DEM 51% - GOP 47%) unitedstatespolling.com/p/democrats-...

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Iowa U.S. Senate 🌽 As of Oct. 21, 2026 Total votes cast: 119,989 (+30,394) 8.5% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Josh Turek: 58.3% - 67.3% 🔴 Ashley Hinson: 30.7% - 39.7% Remaining votes in Iowa will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Tilt R.

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