Oct 18, 2026: 5 days of Russian Federation Armed Forces losses (as reported by General Staff of the Armed Forces of #Ukraine) compared to the invasion average: Yellow is below average; Green is above average; the number is the ratio of the day’s losses over average. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

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A 100-day trailing average number of Russian missiles intercepted by Ukraine per day. Russia tends to accumulate missiles for intense strikes. The average is meant to highlight any long-term trends (attrition vs. production). The trend suggests ~200 missiles saved up now. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

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The #meatgrinder index is a measure of personnel losses vs. armor and artillery losses; losses at average rates would result in the index = 1. The index jumped back up to ~2.0 as the armor and artillery losses both dropped. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

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5-*week* trend of Russian losses. The numbers are the ratios of the week's losses vs. averages since 2022/02/24. Personnel stayed at post-2024 highs. Artillery and vehicle losses dropped. @anthrclfrnn.bsky.social

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Oh dear…

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