dylanspielman.bsky.social
Co-founder of http://convergent-opinion.com. Previously managed data science and polling for the Labour Party.
👤 Joined on 31 October 2023
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@dylanspielman.bsky.socialGreat thread from Steve here on @convergent-opinion.bsky.social's constituency poll of Holborn and St Pancras. Custom recruitment has naturally seemed to become a bit of a thing we do at Convergent - and is one of the things we help our clients with that I enjoy the most. Have a read:
Show PostHandy poll and thread this. Bringing this out because there has been a lot of misplaced out-of-town criticism of a) the Labour candidate and b) the Green campaign’s choice to go for a “don’t worry! It won’t hurt Andy!” campaign message for much of the campaign.
Show PostNEW: What happened in Holborn? Some constituency polling to help us understand a bit more. TLDR: loyalty to Burnham + a local candidate won the day; no real sign of tactical voting; Greens never convinced ppl they could win but Polanski not toxic necessarily. @persuasionuk.bsky.social
Show PostIf you don't already, you should follow @fintan-smith.bsky.social and @dylanspielman.bsky.social. Easily two of the smartest people I've met in polling.
Show PostNew paper from me, Olli Heath, Humphrey Southall and Paula Aucott, just out in @polstudies.bsky.social: The rise and fall of class voting in Britain, 1885–2024 We link ~140 years of census and election data to map the relationship between class and vote in Britain doi.org/10.1177/0032...
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