Daniel Donner
donnermaps.bsky.social
Contributor @the-downballot.com. Focusing on data, maps, and demographics. Find our data (and the CD hexmap template!) at https://the-db.co/data
👤 Joined on 24 July 2023
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- 24 Tem 2023, 14:50
🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı:
@donnermaps.bsky.social - 10 Kas 2023, 03:14
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❤️ Beğendiği Gönderiler
Very neat system of indicators to use I do have concerns about the high number of undecideds in some remaining surveys, even if we set aside bias in some others - to that end I'd rather take the higher end of these indicators. A smart system no doubt. Very close to my approval + 2025 metrics also
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Excited our 2026 midterm forecast is in print w/ @isaachale.bsky.social , Seon, & @edwardheadington.bsky.social Updated quarterly approval & generic ballot series (1937–) predicts clear Dem House, v. narrow GOP Senate. With @the-downballot.com data, we flag potential post-Callais votes-seats bias.
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Schematic map inspired by Beck’s London Underground map (and the thousands of maps derived from it). From: geospatial-lrp.usace.army.mil/districtmaps...
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Join us as we cover the midterm results in the most chaotic, engaging, informative way you've ever seen: live spreadsheets and screen shares from my basement. Election-night coverage that's For Sickos, By Sickos. Bookmark this page: open.substack.com/live-stream/...
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