My conspiracy theory is that Bush, whose painting skills are fine but not what you'd expect after 18 years of it being supposedly his main hobby, doesn't actually like painting and just decided to start it so people would have something to talk about wrt him other than his war crimes and lying

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housing politics is interesting because you have an ostensibly technocratic process influenced by a bunch of high info civically minded individuals and they basically got everything wrong

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I do not buy Vance as a threat at this point. He's competent, but this guy is going to reinvent himself 5 times over the next 10 years. It's what he's always done

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It's probably useful to imagine yourself making the "we're only upstream of 4.5m deaths from the Iraq war and there were other actors" to Iraqis. I'm happy to make dumber arguments to the American public, but there is an underlying sovereignty question we just paper over

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There is just something so frustrating about people who devote their time to metagaming out politics with other nations when they have this at home.

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