The wind profile does seem unusually bottom heavy, which helps explain the typical reduction factor as well.

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Hi Sam, I am here to try to help. TDR measured winds of 103 kt at 500 m above the surface. A student at UM and I have been working on a prototype ML model to reduce these winds to the surface using dropsonde data. That model (SEAR) yielded an estimate of 87 kt. More here: tcatlas.org/realtime_ir....

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I wouldn't call it gaslighting. The NHC has been using an experimental algorithm created by @mikefischerwx.bsky.social that converts TDR velocities to a 10m wind. They've referenced this method, called SEAR, in a few advisories so far this hurricane season. Link: tcatlas.org/realtime_ir....

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Yesterday was DIA’s rainiest day in over a year… 1.10” of rain there = most DIA rain since 9/23/25. Downtown saw closer to 0.5” yesterday. #COwx

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