Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.

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Ya small results = null result is pretty unpersuasive in this context. If the claim is "it doesn't matter if you put up a moderate or a non moderate in a purple district" , that claim seems to be dubious. If the claim is "putting up a moderate doesn't guarantee a win".. fair enough I guess?

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I totally agree with the first two sentences. Moderation is def not a magic bullet, and effect size has surely declined overtime. But I think a holistic view of your analysis and the literature still indicates that part of being a "great candidate" in competitive races is ideological moderation.

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it's worth like 3 points on margin

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Kapalı içerik

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