ivysorta 🏳️‍⚧️

@ivysorta.bsky.social did:plc:puxc2oebl5eedxjuiknzcdlv

Cynicism poses as rebellion while upholding the status quo. Trans Jewish socialist in Seattle, and whatever you're assuming about me based on any of those things is probably wrong. She/her.

Bluesky’a katılma tarihi: 18 Ağustos 2023

Takipçi: 1.665
Takip edilen: 818
Post: 3.259
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ivysorta 🏳️‍⚧️ (@ivysorta.bsky.social), 18 Ağustos 2023 tarihinde katılan bir Bluesky kullanıcısı. 1.665 takipçisi var, 818 hesabı takip ediyor ve 3.259 post paylaştı.

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ESG Hound@esghound.com3.11.2026 05:12
remember that loser who ran unskewed polls dot com, where he just took every 2012 poll and added 5 points to the GOP? Every pollster in America decided to do that this cycle because using the previous cycle as a frame of reference/grounding point has never led them astray before!
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ESG Hound@esghound.com3.11.2026 05:12
siena is probably the best pollster in the US. not always the most accurate but their methodology is grounded, measured, statistically sound, etc. and NYT poll team is very good. Yesterday Cohn told us they saw some wacky raw numbers showing insane Dem leads and they decided to "deskew" em bc vibes
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ESG Hound@esghound.com3.11.2026 05:12
it's gonna be amazing when one or more of the ruby red states everyone has ignored flips tomorrow. imo you should get ready for some crazy outcomes
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Jean-Michel Connard@torriangray.bsky.social3.11.2026 05:11
I think this one is a winner
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Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social3.11.2026 05:11
You know, I feel almost no nervousness about tomorrow. It's not because the polls look good, although they obviously do, it's because ever since we ran the whole ICE army out, I just haven't really been scared of Trump anymore.
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