@k1275.bsky.social did:plc:w5e6qxj7bcelojgsdd6inqoz
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(@k1275.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 20 março 2024. Tem 16 seguidores, segue 12 contas e publicou 243 posts.
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My polling data* has already shown this to be the likeliest outcome. *blemishes in animal livers
Ver postI’m a historian, not a pundit, but my two cents. With the richest man failing to earn political prestige at home, I expect Musk will now attempt to lead an army into Parthia.
Ver postRepublicans will be defending seats in NC, SC, WI, and IA which could all be at risk, plus reach targets (Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Alaska again, etc). Even if the wave recedes somewhat, say, D+8 instead of tonight's ~D+12...you could end up with a very large Democratic majority in the Senate.
Ver postSo...a wild thing to consider, given the absolutely jaw-dropping margins tonight, but looking back at previous midterm rebukes - thinking '06 - the wave tends to hit just as hard in the presidential contest two years later.
Ver postA result like also wipes out a lot of alternatives. Bottoms winning in GA undercuts Kemps' case, Abbott's presidential ambitions are presumably toast. DeSantis survives, I guess. But one suspects the GOP is going to have real 'pipeline' problems after this.
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