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• Eduardo García-Molina@egarcmol.bsky.social04-11-2026 14:38

  My polling data* has already shown this to be the likeliest outcome. *blemishes in animal livers

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• Eduardo García-Molina@egarcmol.bsky.social04-11-2026 14:38

  I’m a historian, not a pundit, but my two cents. With the richest man failing to earn political prestige at home, I expect Musk will now attempt to lead an army into Parthia.

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• "Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social04-11-2026 11:49

  Republicans will be defending seats in NC, SC, WI, and IA which could all be at risk, plus reach targets (Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Alaska again, etc). Even if the wave recedes somewhat, say, D+8 instead of tonight's ~D+12...you could end up with a very large Democratic majority in the Senate.

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• "Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social04-11-2026 11:49

  So...a wild thing to consider, given the absolutely jaw-dropping margins tonight, but looking back at previous midterm rebukes - thinking '06 - the wave tends to hit just as hard in the presidential contest two years later.

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• "Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux@bretdevereaux.bsky.social04-11-2026 11:48

  A result like also wipes out a lot of alternatives. Bottoms winning in GA undercuts Kemps' case, Abbott's presidential ambitions are presumably toast. DeSantis survives, I guess. But one suspects the GOP is going to have real 'pipeline' problems after this.

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