@bcguy2010.bsky.social did:plc:idpwyifw2gcvw4rhcyacziuu
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(@bcguy2010.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 18 agosto 2023. Tem 195 seguidores, segue 1.190 contas e publicou 91 posts.
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In the past, US equities weak 1-3 mo after first rate hike, even if it occurs with SPX near an ATH (like now)
Ver postThe Fed raised interest rates at every meeting from March 2022 through the midterm election. Also hiked a few times in 2018 before a midterm election. Also hiked every meeting from June 2004 through a presidential election. And the Fed was tightening for all of 1994 prior to a midterm election.
Ver postRemember this? Lower after two weeks. Every. Single. Time. Today is two weeks later and SPX is higher by nearly 6%.
Ver postOver 25 one-hour trading periods, $SPY closed lower just once.
Ver postPut simply, the Rubin Ultra HBM despec is a supply issue. Not a demand issue. I think as much additional HBM will be produced as the supply headroom freed up by the shift from 12Hi to 8Hi. It is not a problem at all.
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cats with confusing aura@catswithaura.bsky.social