AdotSad
adotsad.bsky.social
👤 Joined on 12 August 2024
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- 12 Ağu 2024, 23:35
🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı:
@adotsad.bsky.social
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Allen Woke 🇺🇸 🇺🇦 🌐
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Jen🇺🇸🏴☠️
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❤️ Beğendiği Gönderiler
I also don't see how early vote can really disprove a +10 Dem margin. A swing that big requires some persuasion.
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Always fun to see in what way these people will be deliberately obtuse:
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Cook polls: IA-Sen: 46 D-44 R OH-Sen: 49 D-43 R TX-Sen: 49 D-44 R IA-Gov: 54 D-43 R OH-Gov: 49 D-44 R TX-Gov: 46 R-44 D
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I've seen people talking about this finding in the new NYT poll -- it seems like an outlier but it's really just a matter of arithmetic the 35 states with Senate races voted for Trump by over 7 points (it's a bad year!) +4 in Senate states ~= +10 nationally ~= NYT generic (+11)
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