Sara Hobolt

sarahobolt.bsky.social

13 May 2026 22:17

📣 New publication 📣 Delighted to see my article with the brilliant Teresa Bejan and James Tilley now out in the BJPolS We develop and test the concept of 'partisan intolerance' - and find high levels of intolerance in Britain, associated with affective polarisation 👇

Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

poalab.bsky.social

11 May 2026 16:46

John Curtice walked through his interpretation of the results. They confirmed fragmentation with the combined Lab+Con vote falling a lot in England, Scotland, and Wales. They also showed Brexit still matters with Reform increasing much more in strongly Leave areas.

Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

poalab.bsky.social

11 May 2026 16:46

For the rest of England, @hannahbunting.bsky.social showed that while Reform gained more seats from Labour than the Tories, they gained more from the Tories as a proportion of the seats they were defending Reform won in lower turnout areas but also areas with highest increase in turnout

Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

poalab.bsky.social

11 May 2026 16:46

In London, Tony Travers highlighted that London's boroughs are more fragmented than ever before in terms of party control Simultaneously, London is the last region or nation in the UK that resembles traditional British politics — Lab+Con+LD still won more than three quarters of the seats

Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

poalab.bsky.social

11 May 2026 16:46

On Scotland, @robjohns75.bsky.social highlighted how independence still drives voting intention in Holyrood elections. Focus from unionist parties on "getting out the SNP" acts as a proxy for the issue because the SNP so much embodies independence.