deargdoom.bsky.social
A daily adrenaline rush to read and interpret results, takeovers, and general business news.
👤 Joined on 26 August 2024
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@deargdoom.bsky.socialJudges Scientific (#JDG) H1 results are ugly. ❌️ Revenue -21% ❌️ Adjusted PBT -75% ❌️ Adjusted EPS -72% ❌️ Net debt higher And yet full-year guidance is unchanged. That makes the recovery in orders the most important number in today’s update.
Show PostThis on top of the Belgian fraud enquiry makes the stock a big risk IMHO.
Show PostFeel this. But 'margin of safety' on a mortgage servicer is slippery - the book is mark-to-model, so the discount partly reflects what the model won't admit. Averaging down only works if the dividend that justifies whole thesis survives the refi wave. The knife may have a handle you can't see.
Show PostBalance sheet repair at this scale tends to shift the driver set. Once leverage falls below 1x, macro sensitivity often overtakes sector-specific flows.
Show PostInteresting points. Based on recent institutional filings, the average purchase price for institutions was $4.49, meaning it's currently trading at a 16.5% discount to their average entry. A total of 306 institutional firms hold positions.
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