thomas-pinder.bsky.social
Bayesian statistics, Gaussian processes, and causal inference. https://thomas-pinder.com
👤 Joined on 16 November 2024
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@thomas-pinder.bsky.socialSignature Kernel Scoring Rule: A Spatio-Temporal Diagnostic for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting Archer Dodson, Ritabrata Dutta Action editor: Wesley Maddox https://openreview.net/forum?id=LOLXpt4E5D #forecast #forecasts #forecasting
Show PostThe World Cup is about to start, I wrote a model using cuthbert to predict the games, check out cuthberto-carlos 🐛⚽ ryantjx.github.io/cuthberto-ca...
Show Post#StatsPubs No matter how many times you read it, this paper on hierarchical GAMs keeps giving. Clear model explanations together with R code (mgcv). So useful! doi.org/10.7717/peer... Thanks for writing @ericjpedersen.bsky.social, D. Miller, @gsimpson.bsky.social @noamross.net
Show PostThe local elections in one chart. Labour has been squeezed between the Greens in young wards and Reform in older working-class wards www.economist.com/britain/2026...
Show PostIf you have been using LOO-PIT, this is a must read for you; "LOO-PIT predictive model checking" by me and @avehtari.bsky.social , doi.org/10.48550/arX.... 1/4
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