Owen

problemsdog.bsky.social

06 March 2026 13:31

[making my eighteenth balloon animal of the working day] don’t worry, I have the intricacies of inflation figured out

Rich

pibasedlifeform.bsky.social

05 March 2026 19:49

Oh of course, but does anyone think that the Russians can get past Poland, even if they spend a decade rearming? I'm not trivialising the threat, I'm just stating that they had an army they built up over decades and it, er, wasn't very good A bunch of corrupt incompetents aren't going to nail it

Stephen Bush

stephenkb.bsky.social

23 February 2026 16:13

Eh, it's filling the time between now and my (fingers crossed) rescheduled flight at least.

Stephen Bush

stephenkb.bsky.social

23 February 2026 12:58

And if they do, it is IMO essentially the “Reform win GE20” scenario in micro: them not maximising their chances of winning, Labour through a combination of policy, political and organisational failures being unable to fill the role only they can plausibly occupy this parliament in England.

Stephen Bush

stephenkb.bsky.social

23 February 2026 12:43

A realistic chance for all three. Reform and Labour both stronger historically in populations that are harder to poll, Greens being ahead in only reputable poll makes them the non-Reform choice.