New working paper with Matt Blyth, Marco Aviña, and @semrasevi.bsky.social ! paper: alexandercoppock.com/coppock_etal... shiny: anonymouspoliticalscientist.shinyapps.io/afcp-explorer/ Answer to the title question: effects of partisanship and policy are much bigger than demographics or experience

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📣 New working paper with @stesangio.bsky.social and Andrea Ceron 📣 osf.io/preprints/so... Why do voters so often fail to punish politicians for misconduct?

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Another electoral up-set in Germany, what to make it of it as Europe enters a super election year in 2027? Wrote some of my insights from below up in an op-ed for @euobserver.com Citing research with my brilliant co-authors @aalrababah.bsky.social & Rachel Myrick euobserver.com/238663/germa...

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Europe is heading into a super election year in 2027. Those elections will take place against a precarious security backdrop: war in Ukraine and Iran, a retreating US & Europeans increasingly worried about their own security. So shouldn’t this benefit the political centre? Not so fast. 🧵

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📄 Safety Shocks and Mobility Decisions among Syrian Refugees in Lebanon 📍 Refugee Hosting in the Global South: The Effects of Aid, Conflict, and Policy - Fri, September 4, 2:00 to 3:30pm EDT ✍️ @aalrababah.bsky.social @dmasterson.bsky.social Jeremy Weinstein & Dominik Hangartner #EGAPAPSA #APSA

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