FiftyPlusOne.news
fiftyplusone.news
polling aggregation and data-driven journalism from the former research team of fivethirtyeight. https://www.FiftyPlusOne.news
👤 Joined on 08 October 2025
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- 08 Eki 2025, 22:55
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@fiftyplusone.bsky.social - 08 Eki 2025, 23:01
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I think armchair political pundits have a tendency to treat polling as too much of a predictor. It is not a predictor. And there are real limitations. The aggregated averages are better to look at. I like @fiftyplusone.news. They do a good job.
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I predict there will be a flood of forecast models this year, both because the @fiftyplusone.news team are doing the hard data collection work necessary, then making it available via API, and because Claude and Codex make it easy to make (a lousy) one. But this is the forecast I'm following.
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Just found @fiftyplusone.news Exactly what I was looking for.
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