Abolish ICE is not enough. Stern words for Greg Bovino or Kristi Noem is not enough. We need prosecutions and trials. Anything short of this position fails to address the gravity of this moment.

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Trying to figure out intuitive, less technical, ways to explain why total fertility rate is not a good projection of completed fertility when mother's age at birth is rising.

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Given that Emily Oster has been in the news for saying completely idiotic things outside the scope of her expertise, I though it might make sense to remember that there's a concept to describe people like Oster.

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This is a trap. If you accept their framing of the problem and then "offer ideas," your ideas are half as effective as the ones the Nazis (literally!) propose

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But they love the issue. It's just family culture wars transplanted into birth rates now. They can just dog-whistle the race politics in their speeches and briefs, without doing real policy (hopefully, anyway).

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