Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

18 October 2026 02:43

Even though I had 2028 leaps, taking the opportunity to exit TLT for +25% here on the averaged down position. I expect we get a low retest to reenter. Yellow dotted line is previous ATL + 55 EMA in blue. Very strange to see yields popping this much on hot CPI/PPI and retail sales.

Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

07 October 2026 16:53

May not look like much looking back, but 2015 was a decent bear market. May 21st 2015 - Feb 11th 2016. Five months of sideways before the breakdown. Max draw down of -15.13% on SPX & -20.59% on NYA. Two major down legs.