benbusb.us
your 3rd fave’s 3rd fave “real professional” ~ pizza diva mpls
👤 Joined on 01 July 2023
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the way I look at this is you’ve got to take each election as its own thing and look at where the possible error sources might be and consider why you should worry about them e.g. the “shy Trump voter” thing was a real concern in 2024 and it turned out to be correct
Show PostI think there is a lot of cynicism about polling because of what we’ve seen in the last three presidential elections, and I can’t blame people for worrying however, we have not seen similar errors in trump-era non-presidential elections and the last data point we have (VA/NJ 2025) had a pro-R error
Show Post‘get a load of this guy’ is an all timer
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