Even with just three points, the model gives South Korea a 91% chance to advance to the Round of 32.

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Slight issue with the Scorigami bot, where results at this tournament weren't being added to the historical database to count as the most recent results. This should be fixed going forward.

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The World Cup kicks off tomorrow, and now's a great time to follow my World Cup scorigami bot! The bot will go live at every final whistle, giving historical context for each result as well as probabilities of advancing from the group and winning the tournament. @worldcupscorigami.bsky.social

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Building something new – a World Cup Scorigami bot! This will start posting games in real-time during the tournament this summer and provide some pretty cool historical context for each result. Check it out: @worldcupscorigami.bsky.social

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