Devolved Election Projections

devolvedelections.bsky.social

09 October 2026 00:06

Our Westminster model, going live tomorrow, has Labour winning Holborn & St Pancras by about 45% to 30% (Adding together Green and Feinstein). This is a general election model not a by-election model so candidates aren't considered.

Rob Ford

robfordmancs.bsky.social

07 October 2026 19:21

This is a positive development, full stop. Anti-racism norms matter, elite cues on anti-racism norms matter, a broad political consensus on anti-racism norms matter so a strong signal from the leader of a party which has been blurring red lines lately is good news.

Sam Freedman

samfr.bsky.social

13 September 2026 17:39

George is right but I've always thought they would do this because it is probably the policy that works best politically for them. IHT is wildly unpopular, especially in the southern seats they need to try and win back from the Libs.

Make Votes Matter

makevotesmatter.bsky.social

08 May 2026 08:01

Local election results are trickling in and we're already seeing the chaotic effects of First Past the Post. In Wandsworth, the Tories are the biggest party and are one seat away from a majority on just 31% of the vote. Meanwhile, Labour got 34% of the vote - and fewer seats.

Zack Polanski

zackpolanski.bsky.social

10 April 2026 14:13

A member of the government comes clean. The idea Starmer has ‘kept Britain out of this illegal war’ has been a lie.