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With the 10-year trading above 5% once again it’s time to start thinking about the impact on growth, employment & inflation as rates move higher. Read on to evaluate our shock model as the 10 year moves to 5%, 5.5% & 6%. #Econ #EconSky share.google/UEia1wVu04Bl... Source: The Real Economy Blog
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Syrian sources: Israeli artillery shelling on the outskirts of Beit Jinn town in western Damascus countryside - REPORTS
Show PostA Fed that has tolerated inflation above the 2% target which is well into its sixth year is likely not to wait much longer. A quick look at Fed fund futures implies a 75% probability of a rate hike at the 9/16 policy meeting. If one prefers the overnight swap index it is at 70%. #Econ #EconSky
Show PostThese are price increases firms can only partially absorb. They will be passed along going forward and one should anticipate that shows up in the CPI and PCE. #Econ #EconSky
Show PostUS August PPI: when one parses through the data one can feel the pain of down-market consumers, small firms and midsize business. Diesel was up 24.1%, home heating oil & distillates 22.8%, final demand for energy 4.2%, eggs for fresh use 32.2%, grains 4.3%. #Econ #EconSky
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