Instead of Halloween candy, give the children what they want: sturdy shoelaces, antacids, tinned fish packed in oil. Maybe copies of your hand-bound manifesto.

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I haven't been applying the full power of my gigantic brain to manifest the sudden death of the enemy of all good people everywhere and for that I do apologize.

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Not a great sign, but a lot will depend on the details here. For instance, if the patient really came from Uganda and not DRC via Uganda that suggests there is spread in the country that is being missed. www.reuters.com/business/hea...

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They are indeed! Every prediction model should be compared to clinical guess. If you can't beat that, go home.

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Willing to bet you could massively outperform this model just by fitting a simple discrete time logistic model for survival. The c-statistic was pitiful. This screams "optimising publications for media engagement" to me which is disappointing to say the least.

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