On February 28, 2022, we also outlined three possible consequences of sustained Western support for Ukraine. Our assessment today: Assad’s fall materialized; the weakening of Iran and China is only partly borne out; Russia’s internal fragmentation remains a process to watch.👇

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In the first days of the war, we warned that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could leave Assad exposed. His dependence on Moscow meant a prolonged war could divert the military resources sustaining his regime, creating an opening for renewed conflict in Syria.

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1- On the very day Yeni Parti was founded in July, we warned that the proliferation of “Yeni,” “Yeniden” and “Yenilik” party names could create voter confusion and weaken political identity. Now, reports say Yargıtay had also cautioned Yeni Parti that its name could face problems...👇

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2-...because of its similarity to Yenilik Partisi.👇 serbestgorus.com/2026/09/iddi...

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... and if, I hope they pass. But Saudi Arabia must be ready to do more, not less, than last time. The Houthis must be eliminated this time. For good.

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