KI Insights

ki-insights.bsky.social

15 May 2025 17:35

14/ Hence, expect fighting to continue. Putin likely wants to conquer all of Donbas and European/ US threats are unlikely to be taken seriously. The main positive is the continuous innovation and self-reliance on Ukraine’s side. But as this week has shown - anything is possible

KI Insights

ki-insights.bsky.social

15 May 2025 17:35

13/ That said, we remain cautious. Russia’s summer offensive once again means it is gaining territory (in part due to the transfer of high-quality units from Kursk to the Donbas theatre, notably Toretsk direction). The underlying factors (first of all – Putin) are unchanged

KI Insights

ki-insights.bsky.social

15 May 2025 17:35

12/ There are significant expectations for a future US-Russia “minerals/ trade deal”. This would provide significant benefits to Russia at a time when the Kremlin wants economic normalization (incl. for the occupied territories). This could change the calculus.

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