Dan’s putting on an absolute clinic in conservative logic. In his mind, those of us who clocked Trump as a wolf all along—often contra Dan’s own feverish efforts to cast Democrats are the *real* wolves—were peddling hysteria. Dan, by contrast, waited for the perfect time to view Trump this way. 🙏

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You're right. It could be higher. But this is a well-studied calculation that is published every year, and is not going to be wildly different under reasonable assumptions. www.ssa.gov/OACT/NOTES/r...

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I disagree with “obviously not”. Anyone who made their FICA payments collects their benefits. It’s simpler–no arguments over where someone’s means exceeds the limits or how to manage the exclusion cliff–and cheaper. There are not enough rich people that excluding them makes a significant difference.

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Man, someone lost while up 3-0? That's crazy. I wonder who did that, so embarassing.

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It’s worth remembering that the polling in 2022 did not predict a red wave — that was mostly vibes. This year, the fundamentals, the polling, and the vibes all point in the same direction.

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