The 654th consecutive day on Rustaveli Avenue in Tbilisi Georgia, demonstrating against an illegitimate, pro-Russian regime.

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I made a Bayesian poll-aggregation forecast model for the 2027 French presidential election: martindevaux.com/forecast/ This is work in progress, feedback and suggestions appreciated.

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I wrote this piece for an Australian magazine last month, but I am reposting it now with Germany in mind where the AfD just took almost 44 percent of the vote in one of its states. I see a lot of denial from folks both on the left and right on what this all means and how to do better.

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One of those things you were pretty sure was true but now you have causal quantiative evidence in the American Economic Review: business schools trained CEOs to pay workers less in pursuit of maximizing shareholder value www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...

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You can literally see how Ariely* manually changed data to produce the results he wanted Truly remarkable level of fraud from one of the most famous social scientists *I bet Ariely will use the Gino dog-ate-my-homework defense that a mysterious RA selectively manipulate the data did it. I doubt it

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