John Springford

johnspringford.bsky.social

21 April 2026 07:44

As this excellent FT report sets out, the gulf between the cautious reset and economic impact of Brexit is getting wider. www.ft.com/content/2007...

John Springford

johnspringford.bsky.social

21 April 2026 07:44

Resolution has applied my model to data up to 2025. As the chart shows, we can be less confident as time goes on. But firm-level evidence from Bloom et al shows a 6% loss. I think it's time to retire the OBR's 4%, which was a simple average of pre-Brexit forecasts.

Alan Smith

theboysmithy.ft.com

26 November 2025 08:58

New: 'Shark's fin' chart reveals the uneven impact of 'fiscal drag', the stealth tax beloved of recent chancellors. Plus use our interactive calculator to see how fresh freezes announced by Rachel Reeves at todays Budget could affect you on.ft.com/3KqOYUL

James O’Brien

mrjamesob.bsky.social

08 October 2025 06:54

Lords Heseltine & Kinnock seem more alive to these self-evident truths than most members of the Commons. Similarly, I find thinkers with direct lived experience of far right dictatorship, Greeks of a certain age for example, crystal clear about what’s happening now.

Cian™️ 🌊

ciantm.bsky.social

07 October 2025 16:04

And sure why even drive when you can get on the hype-cycle and get some investors super rich.