Ethan Mollick

emollick.bsky.social

16 October 2026 04:08

This paper shows why I am skeptical of the idea that frontier models can be easily replaced by cheaper ones (and why you should use the best models as orchestrators): Small improvements in accuracy & judgement compound over long-horizon tasks, creating huge gains in outcomes and reduction in errors.

Philip Bump

pbump.com

13 October 2026 23:47

That $366 million Elon is spending to try and convince voters that Congress should stay Republican? It's more money than McCain's 2008 campaign spent. But it's also, relative to Musk's net worth, the same as a household at the median income spending $32.

Michael Clemens

mclem.org

13 October 2026 22:20

Lying is wrong. Lying with vast power is sickening.

James Medlock

jdcmedlock.bsky.social

09 October 2026 22:24

I'm taking my "Norway's wealth tax didn't reduce tax revenue" victory lap.

Jake Grumbach

jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

09 October 2026 18:34

New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854