“Those talks were said to have covered ‘key elements of a comprehensive peace framework,’ including security guarantees for Ukraine, a post-war economic plan, and a broader European security architecture.”

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If this frightens you, it should. The difference between your children and grandchildren surviving or not is down to security and defence planning decisions made today. A benign organised state-level military will stand between you/them and great suffering or even death because of climate impacts.

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This message is understood by Military Staffs around the world, though not necessarily by the suits in the corresponding Ministries and Departments of Defence. Behind the scenes, strategic defence planners are working to raise the issue and encourage proper planning and preparation.

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The current geopolitical, cultural and societal trajectories combined with the intrinsic complex adaptive system behaviour patterns of societies and polities indicate a global scale shift in system state, including nearly all subsystems as 'disturbance' collides with conservative rigidity.

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At an end of century 2.8°C warming it means anarchy, chaos, warlordism, feudalism, mass (billions) displacement and forced migration, banditry, slave trading, ethnic cleansing, ethnic genocides, unstoppable invasions and armed conflicts everywhere. That's not doomism. That's calculated projection.

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