Fidonis
fidonis.bsky.social
Fidonis is the independent record of how prediction markets settle: which resolutions get disputed, and how much was at stake. Chain-anchored and free to cite. We hold no positions and take no money from any venue. Every dispute: https://fidonis.org/cases/
👤 Joined on 05 August 2026
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- 05 Ağu 2026, 11:22
🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı:
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Mars on November 30 2025, from the Emirates Mars Mission. And processed as an experiment with the new PhotoCraft editor. flic.kr/p/2sGvmjB
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Took a walk in #MyBackYard. #Nature #Cactus #Blooms #Photography #ECK #WildFlowers #Springtime
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How to Detect the Polymarket TWAP Market Lifecycle Learn how to detect the Polymarket TWAP market lifecycle, distinguish trading from resolution states, and build safer market-state logic. dev.to/soulcrancerd...
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Biggest single trade on Polymarket yesterday: $359.6K bought on Rayo Vallecano NOT covering a -1.5 spread vs Real Madrid, at 99.2¢. Unlike most whale prints, the price didn't move: the book had already sat near 99% for hours before this trade landed. Order book: tickfoundry.com
Show PostOdds move: Polymarket's Fed 25bp-cut market (Sept 2026 meeting) moved 54.5%→58.5% implied over the last 24h; the 'no change' market fell 43.5%→40.5%. $649K traded across the two yesterday. This is the live order-book mid, not the settled trade tape. Full L1/L2 tick data: tickfoundry.com
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