Ilona Pinter

ilonapin.bsky.social

12 December 2025 17:38

Thanks Hayley! Happy to field any questions or feedback or you can contact the authors directly: Suzanna Nesom & @emmatominey.bsky.social at York or @kittyjstewart.bsky.social at @lse-sticerd-case.bsky.social

Ilona Pinter

ilonapin.bsky.social

12 December 2025 17:35

However, a comparison of labour market participation and hours worked among families on both sides of the border finds no labour supply impact in practice, including among second earners. Therefore, the evidence suggests that concerns that the SCP creates work disincentives are overplayed.

Ilona Pinter

ilonapin.bsky.social

12 December 2025 17:35

Second earners in families not in receipt of housing support are most exposed: the cliff-edge falls between 9-41 hours of work for partners of full-time minimum wage earners, depending on parental age and number of children.

Ilona Pinter

ilonapin.bsky.social

12 December 2025 17:35

A lone parent or a sole earner in a couple could work at least 39 hours a week at national minimum wage before reaching the cliff-edge.

Ilona Pinter

ilonapin.bsky.social

12 December 2025 17:35

However, our analysis finds no evidence to suggest that the SCP has reduced labour supply. The analysis shows that only a small share of families have incomes that position them close to the cliff-edge.