Climate simulations spanning centuries to millennia suggest that an El Niño-like climate state could persist for centuries after emissions cease, bringing lasting rainfall shifts and more frequent extreme El Niño events. Net zero ≠ climate reset. www.nature.com/articles/s43...

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With @sclark.bsky.social @adisen99.bsky.social Pardeep Pall @meinshausen.bsky.social Ruchit Kulkarni and Boying Lyu @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social @unimelb.edu.au

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Wednesday El Niño update - Unsurprisingly, sea surface temperatures still remain record warm across the central Pacific. But when discussing headlines like the “strongest” El Niño, it’s an oversimplification to ignore the role of long-term tropical warming (from climate change). Data: OISSTv2.1 🌊

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I was looking at the equatorial eastern Pacific subsurface ocean temperature using NOAA PMEL TAO array data. This can give you a sense of the heat sitting below the surface and be an indicator of the upcoming El Niño strength. Then I realized it’s now up to 10 deg warmer than normal. This is crazy 🫠

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Kapalı içerik

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